Products related to Uncertainty:
-
Risk Analytics : Data-Driven Decisions under Uncertainty
The 2022 World Economic Forum surveyed 1,000 experts and leaders who indicated their risk perception that the earth’s conditions for humans are a main concern in the next 10 years.This means environmental risks are a priority to study in a formal way.At the same time, innovation risks are present in theminds of leaders, newknowledge brings new risk, and the adaptation and adoption of risk knowledge is required to better understand the causes and effects can have on technological risks.These opportunities require not only adopting new ways of managing and controlling emerging processes for society and business, but also adapting organizations to changes and managing new risks. Risk Analytics: Data-Driven Decisions Under Uncertainty introduces a way to analyze and design a risk analytics system (RAS) that integrates multiple approaches to risk analytics to deal with diverse types of data and problems.A risk analytics system is a hybrid system where human and artificial intelligence interact with a data gathering and selection process that uses multiple sources to the delivery of guidelines to make decisions that include humans and machines.The RAS system is an integration of components, such as data architecture with diverse data, and a risk analytics process and modeling process to obtain knowledge and then determine actions through the new knowledge that was obtained.The use of data analytics is not only connected to risk modeling and its implementation, but also to the development of the actionable knowledge that can be represented by text in documents to define and share explicit knowledge and guidelines in the organization for strategy implementation. This book moves from a review of data to the concepts of a RAS.It reviews RAS system components required to support the creation of competitive advantage in organizations through risk analytics.Written for executives, analytics professionals, risk management professionals, strategy professionals, and postgraduate students, this book shows a way to implement the analytics process to develop a risk management practice that creates an adaptive competitive advantage under uncertainty.
Price: 74.99 £ | Shipping*: 0.00 £ -
Supply Chain Analytics : An Uncertainty Modeling Approach
This textbook offers a detailed account of analytical models used to solve complex supply chain problems.It introduces a unique risk analysis framework that helps the reader understand the sources of uncertainties and use appropriate models to improve decisions in supply chains.This framework illustrates the complete supply chain for a product and demonstrates the supply chain's exposure to demand, supply, inventory, and financial risks. Step by step, this book provides a detailed examination of analytical methods that optimize operational decisions under different types of uncertainty.It discusses stochastic inventory models, introduces uncertainty modeling methods, and explains methods for managing uncertainty.To help readers deepen their understanding, it includes access to various supplementary material including an online interactive tool in Python. This book is intended for undergraduate and graduate students of supply chain management with a focus on supply chain analytics.It also prepares practitioners to make better decisions in this field.
Price: 74.99 £ | Shipping*: 0.00 £ -
Uncertainty
Uncertainty
Price: 16.14 € | Shipping*: 0.00 € -
Taming Uncertainty
An examination of the cognitive tools that the mind uses to grapple with uncertainty in the real world. How do humans navigate uncertainty, continuously making near-effortless decisions and predictions even under conditions of imperfect knowledge, high complexity, and extreme time pressure?Taming Uncertainty argues that the human mind has developed tools to grapple with uncertainty.Unlike much previous scholarship in psychology and economics, this approach is rooted in what is known about what real minds can do.Rather than reducing the human response to uncertainty to an act of juggling probabilities, the authors propose that the human cognitive system has specific tools for dealing with different forms of uncertainty.They identify three types of tools: simple heuristics, tools for information search, and tools for harnessing the wisdom of others.This set of strategies for making predictions, inferences, and decisions constitute the mind's adaptive toolbox. The authors show how these three dimensions of human decision making are integrated and they argue that the toolbox, its cognitive foundation, and the environment are in constant flux and subject to developmental change.They demonstrate that each cognitive tool can be analyzed through the concept of ecological rationality-that is, the fit between specific tools and specific environments.Chapters deal with such specific instances of decision making as food choice architecture, intertemporal choice, financial uncertainty, pedestrian navigation, and adolescent behavior.
Price: 48.00 £ | Shipping*: 0.00 £
-
What is uncertainty?
Uncertainty refers to a lack of certainty or predictability about a situation or outcome. It is the state of not knowing what will happen in the future or the level of confidence one can have in a particular decision or event. Uncertainty can arise from various factors such as incomplete information, complexity, or randomness, and it can lead to feelings of doubt, anxiety, or hesitation. In many cases, uncertainty can be managed through risk assessment, planning, and flexibility in decision-making.
-
What is spatial visualization ability?
Spatial visualization ability refers to the capacity to mentally manipulate and comprehend spatial relationships between objects. Individuals with strong spatial visualization skills can easily visualize and understand how objects relate to each other in space, such as rotating or manipulating shapes in their mind. This ability is crucial in various fields such as engineering, architecture, and mathematics, as it allows individuals to solve complex problems and understand spatial concepts more effectively. Improving spatial visualization ability can enhance problem-solving skills and overall cognitive performance.
-
What is extreme uncertainty?
Extreme uncertainty refers to a situation where there is a high level of unpredictability and ambiguity surrounding future outcomes. It is characterized by a lack of clear information or data to make informed decisions, leading to a wide range of potential outcomes. In such circumstances, traditional forecasting methods may not be effective, and decision-making becomes challenging. Extreme uncertainty can result from various factors such as rapid technological advancements, geopolitical instability, or global pandemics.
-
Is spatial visualization important for engineers?
Yes, spatial visualization is important for engineers as it allows them to mentally manipulate and understand complex 3D objects and structures. Engineers often need to design and analyze various components and systems, and spatial visualization skills help them to conceptualize and communicate their ideas effectively. Whether it's designing a new product, creating blueprints for a building, or solving complex problems, spatial visualization is a crucial skill that allows engineers to think critically and innovate in their field.
Similar search terms for Uncertainty:
-
Embracing Uncertainty
'Susan Jeffers' wisdom feels like a precious gift. Her counsel is profound and meaningful in such challenging times.' MARIANNE WILLIAMSON'Original, courageous and brilliant!' WARREN FARRELL* * * * * * * * * *Nobody knows what will happen in the next moment of our lives.Whatever is in store for us, the only thing we CAN be sure of is that nothing in life is certain. And since we all fear the unknown, life's uncertainty can be a constant source of worry to us. But, as bestselling author Susan Jeffers explains, life doesn't have to be one worry after the next, a steady stream of 'what if's', and a constant attempt to create a secure haven for ourselves.In EMBRACING UNCERTAINTY she emphasises that an unknown future doesn't prevent a rich and abundant life, and shows how by enjoying life's unpredictability we transform ourselves from a position of fear to one filled with excitement and potential. Through invaluable case-studies, exercises and her pragmatic wisdom, Susan convinces us, above all, that life is exhilarating because of, not in spite of the uncertainty.
Price: 10.99 £ | Shipping*: 3.99 £ -
Facing Uncertainty
Price: 8.99 £ | Shipping*: 3.99 £ -
Age of Uncertainty
MUUY BIIEN's latest offering, "Age Of Uncertainty," is a delightful romp through the murky waters of modern indie rock. From the opening track, the band grabs you by the scruff of your neck and drags you headfirst into their world of swirling guitars and pounding drums. The album exudes a sense of urgency and chaos, as if the band members were trying to cram as many ideas as possible into each song. This frenetic energy is both the album's greatest strength and its biggest weakness. While some tracks, like the relentless "Skeletons" and the haunting "Cyanide Breathmint," benefit from this sense of urgency, others can feel a bit cluttered and overwhelming. Lead vocalist Joshua Evans' gritty, almost manic delivery adds to the album's sense of unease. His lyrics are cryptic and often nonsensical, but they somehow feel perfectly at home amidst the cacophony of sound. "Age Of Uncertainty" is not an album for the faint of heart. It demands your attention and refuses to let go until the final notes of the closing track have faded into silence. MUUY BIIEN may not have all the answers, but they certainly know how to keep you on your toes. In the end, "Age Of Uncertainty" is a wild ride that is sure to leave you both exhausted and exhilarated. So buckle up and enjoy the chaos.
Price: 24.99 £ | Shipping*: 0.00 £ -
Reasoning about Uncertainty
Formal ways of representing uncertainty and various logics for reasoning about it; updated with new material on weighted probability measures, complexity-theoretic considerations, and other topics. In order to deal with uncertainty intelligently, we need to be able to represent it and reason about it.In this book, Joseph Halpern examines formal ways of representing uncertainty and considers various logics for reasoning about it.While the ideas presented are formalized in terms of definitions and theorems, the emphasis is on the philosophy of representing and reasoning about uncertainty.Halpern surveys possible formal systems for representing uncertainty, including probability measures, possibility measures, and plausibility measures; considers the updating of beliefs based on changing information and the relation to Bayes' theorem; and discusses qualitative, quantitative, and plausibilistic Bayesian networks. This second edition has been updated to reflect Halpern's recent research.New material includes a consideration of weighted probability measures and how they can be used in decision making; analyses of the Doomsday argument and the Sleeping Beauty problem; modeling games with imperfect recall using the runs-and-systems approach; a discussion of complexity-theoretic considerations; the application of first-order conditional logic to security.Reasoning about Uncertainty is accessible and relevant to researchers and students in many fields, including computer science, artificial intelligence, economics (particularly game theory), mathematics, philosophy, and statistics.
Price: 62.00 £ | Shipping*: 0.00 £
-
What causes uncertainty regarding sexuality?
Uncertainty regarding sexuality can be caused by a variety of factors, including societal norms and expectations, lack of education or information about different sexual orientations, personal experiences that may challenge one's understanding of their own sexuality, and fear of judgment or discrimination from others. Additionally, the fluidity and complexity of human sexuality can also contribute to feelings of uncertainty as individuals may not fit neatly into traditional categories or labels. Overall, the multifaceted nature of sexuality and the diversity of human experiences can lead to uncertainty and confusion for many people.
-
What causes uncertainty regarding virginity?
Uncertainty regarding virginity can be caused by various factors, including differing cultural beliefs and definitions of virginity. Additionally, lack of education and understanding about human anatomy and sexual health can contribute to confusion about what constitutes virginity. Social pressures and expectations surrounding virginity can also create uncertainty, as individuals may feel conflicted between personal beliefs and societal norms. Lastly, the subjective nature of virginity, which can be influenced by individual experiences and interpretations, can further contribute to uncertainty surrounding this concept.
-
How can one hide uncertainty?
One can hide uncertainty by maintaining a confident demeanor, using vague language to avoid committing to a specific answer, and redirecting the conversation to a different topic. Additionally, one can prepare in advance by researching the topic in question to have some knowledge to fall back on. It is important to remember that it is okay to admit when you are unsure about something rather than trying to hide it.
-
What causes uncertainty about vaccinations?
Uncertainty about vaccinations can be caused by a variety of factors. These may include misinformation or myths about vaccine safety and effectiveness, lack of understanding about how vaccines work, fear of potential side effects, and mistrust in the healthcare system. Additionally, conflicting information from different sources, such as social media or celebrities, can contribute to confusion and doubt about the importance of vaccinations. Overall, a lack of clear and accurate information can lead to uncertainty and hesitancy towards vaccines.
* All prices are inclusive of VAT and, if applicable, plus shipping costs. The offer information is based on the details provided by the respective shop and is updated through automated processes. Real-time updates do not occur, so deviations can occur in individual cases.